Comparative Analysis of ARIMA-based Models for Forecasting Pressure in Natural Gas Pipelines - Dalam bentuk buku karya ilmiah

FELIX TIMOTHY PASARIBU

Informasi Dasar

201 kali
24.04.5359
000
Karya Ilmiah - Skripsi (S1) - Reference

Effective monitoring of natural gas pipeline networks is essential for balancing supply and demand. Traditional simulation methods have limitations in predicting future trends due to their inability to fully capture complex dynamics in gas flow. This study employs ARIMA-based models, including ARIMA, ARIMAX, SARIMA, and SARIMAX, to forecast future pressure values at the receiving facility of a gas transmission network. The models are evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) to assess performance. Notably, the SARIMAX model demonstrates superior performance in the normal forecasting approach, while SARIMA excels in the rolling forecast origin approach. Both models have significant statistical coefficients and exhibit no significant autocorrelations in the residuals, indicating their robustness in forecasting pressure and flow rate conditions at the sink for future times with low error rates.

Subjek

DATA SCIENCE
 

Katalog

Comparative Analysis of ARIMA-based Models for Forecasting Pressure in Natural Gas Pipelines - Dalam bentuk buku karya ilmiah
 
,;il.: pdf file
Indonesia-English

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Pengarang

FELIX TIMOTHY PASARIBU
Perorangan
Hasmawati, Aditya Firman Ihsan
 

Penerbit

Universitas Telkom, S1 Informatika
Bandung
2024

Koleksi

Kompetensi

  • CII4E4 - TUGAS AKHIR

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